vendredi 19 juin 2009

Canada and USA agricultural weather issues and changes in our solar cycles

Canada and USA agricultural weather issues and changes in our solar cycles

In the Winter of 2008-2009 was circulating a paper coming from the US Agricultural Departement that stayed in restraint diffusion for many reasons.

From Memory what I have understood and double checked was the fact that the Agricultural production in the Canadian Prairie as in the US MidWest would probably drop of about 30% for 2009 Harvest because of the colder than usual winter and its subsequent dryness.

And the US Southern Belt would witness a reduction of about 18% of its Agricultural production because of sry weather.

There’s been some concern lately over climate and agriculture. In the last few days we’ve had headlines such as:

Crops under stress as temperatures fall (UK Telegraph)

Canadian Wheat Output May Fall on Dry, Cool Weather (Bloomberg)

Southeastern Missouri farmers try to overcome wet spring, soggy crops (TV4 Kansas City)

Doctor Davis Archibald reply to Anthony email at
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/06/15/canada-and-usa-agricultural-weather-issues-and-changes-in-our-solar-cycles/

Here is what David Archibald reply

Anthony,

The attached article, dated 30th December 2008, was noted on Icecap in early January.

The prediction in it appears to have been borne out by subsequent events. Note this report of widespread frosts:

Canada frosts the most widespread in recent memory (Reuters, also source of photo above)

Your readers may benefit from having it reposted on WUWT. It is a good example of the practical application of Friis-Christensen and Lassen theory, and thus solar science to practical matters at ground level.

David

From

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/06/15/canada-and-usa-agricultural-weather-issues-and-changes-in-our-solar-cycles/

Using the calibration provided by the climate shift caused by the Solar Cycle 20 to 22 change in solar cycle length, the following shifts in climatic zones, and thus growing conditions, are estimated:

30° N 160 km southward shift
35° N 300 km southward shift
40° N 420 km southward shift

Assuming that two thirds of the productivity increase in mid-western states from 1990 to 2004 was climatically driven, then the productivity decline in this region due to Solar Cycle 24 is expected to be of the order of 30%. The total US agricultural productivity decrease would be less than that at possibly 20%, equating to the export share of US agricultural production.

David Archibald
30th December, 2008


As Time flows I will do my best to update the situation. It will certainly be more easy than in the last two years (at least for me) since it is very difficult to shout about Global Cooling while people just became convince about Global Warming and its subsequent effects, Kyoto. protocol of Montreal, etc..

However, a lot of things has change in the last two years,
we are in a precise foretold depression (references soon but you can get a glimpse at
Daily Kos Here

We are in a full blown still 'Mild' pandemic
From theory to reality, 1st wave of a World pandemic

Swine flu: some warning signs

There are Geopolitical movement
Global Financial, Political, Military Schism in Sight

and in the Middle-East these last couple of weeks
GranMa used to say

And finally
Phase 5 of the global systemic crisis: phase of global geopolitical dislocation

SO, as you see there is al ot of important, nodal issues on our table and it affects all of us.

I invite you to take knowledge via the above links and ponder on it.

With Regards
Snowy Owl

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